CPL 2019 Match Prediction: Barbados Tridents vs St Kitts and Nevis Patriots

CPL Match25: Barbados Tridents vs St Kitts and Nevis Patriots

September 29, 2019,

Bridgetown

We try to analyse upcoming cricket matches with prediction tips related to batting, bowling, pitch, toss that will give our app users a better shot at predicting and winning. 

squads:

Barbados Tridents:

Jason Holder (c), Alex Hales, Asif Ali, Wahab Riaz, Sandeep Lamichhane, Johnson Charles, Shai Hope, Ashley Nurse, Imad Wasim, Jonathan Carter, Chemar Holder, Leniko Boucher, Roshon Primus, Raymon Reifer, Justin Greaves, Joshua Bishop, Hayden Walsh Jr., Josh Lalor, JP Duminy, Dan Christian, Harry Gurney, Shakib Al Hasan

St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots:

Carlos Brathwaite (c), Isuru Udana, Fabian Allen, Evin Lewis, Rassie van der Dussen, Laurie Evans, Sheldon Cottrell, Devon Thomas, Rayad Emrit, Shamarh Brooks, Jeremiah Louis, Dominic Drakes, Afif Hossain, Keron Cottoy, Akeem Jordan, Usama Mir, Aaron Jones, Mohammad Hafeez, Jason Mohammed, Kjorn Ottley, Alzarri Joseph

Pitch report for match prediction:

The Darren Sammy stadium – one of the newest major grounds in West Indies. It’s the first time this ground is hosting a match in the Caribbean Premier League, but historically it has been a flat deck where runs usually flow. But that’s true on every deck in the West Indies, and one can expect to see scores of 150-170 from a decent team.

Today’s match toss prediction:

The Tridents decided to reverse the trend in their last game by electing to bat first at Bridgetown and boy, did it pay off! After coming desperately close in chase against the Tallawahs and succumbing to pressure, they decided to play to their strengths against TKR. 193 is a difficult target to chase on any ground in a T20 match, but USA spinner Hayden Walsh really came to the fore with a 5-for to break the back of the TKR chase. BT’s batting prowess is such that they will back themselves to set a target again in the next match. If STKNP win the toss, expect them to bowl first.

Barbados Tridents’ performance during CPL 2019

Batting

Alex Hales’ middling form saw Jonathan Carter moved up to open the innings along with Johnson Charles, and the pair repaid the confidence 110-run opening stand, scored in just 13.5 overs. Both scored half-centuries, and when they were dismissed, JP Duminy took baton with the fastest-ever half century in CPL. He contributed 65 to the cause. If the first 3 repeat their heroics in this match, then STKNP will find it difficult to make an impact on the game.

Charles, in particular, has been in good form – 128 runs in his last 4 matches; Duminy has 124. You can rely on these 2 to come good again. The Tridents are now 4th in the table. STKNP is the team ahead of them, but they’ve played 2 games more. Expect Charles and Duminy to be among the runs in an almost-must-win clash for the Tridents.

Bowling

The last game was all about Hayden Walsh, Jr. At one point, his figures read 4-4 in 3 overs, after he took 3 wickets within 4 deliveries to completely and comprehensively put an end to the TKR chase. He has just come in to replace Lamichhane.

Apart from that, Duminy took 2 to wrap up the chase against TKR, and he’s also taken a wicket each in the 2 matches before that. Raymon Reifer, Harry Gurney and Jason Holder were the other wicket takers in the match against TKR. In Lamichhane’s absence, expect Walsh to get another bite of the wicket-taking apple.

St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots’ performance during CPL 2019

Batting

So where will STKNP’s runs come from? Evin Lewis had been in good form, and had scored the fastest ever CPL 50 until JP Duminy broke his record in the last game, but has 17 runs in his last 2 games. Devon Thomas has 14 in his last 4 games. In the high-scoring tie against TKR, Braithwite and Lewis contributed half-centuries, Braithwite has 19 in his 3 subsequent matches. Fabian Allen had 62* in the victory against Jamaica, but followed it up with a limp 1 against St. Lucia.

Hafeez has shown some sort of consistency, scoring 99 in his last 4 matches. Laurie Evans has 83.

Simply put, STKNP’s batting has been too inconsistent to pose a serious, dangerous threat. Expect Hafeez and Evans to be consistent, scoring 20-30+ runs, and expect 1 of Lewis, Braithwite or Allen to contribute big. If all fail, the game will be over for STKNP. Devon Thomas will be either dropped, or score less than 10 runs.

Bowling

Alzarri Joseph and Mohammed Hafeez to take wickets again; they have 5 and 4 wickets respectively in their last 3 games. The other bowlers are useful, but inconsistent. For what it’s worth, Sheldon Cottrell has 4 in his last 3 games as well, but didn’t bowl in the last game.

Come to think of it, STKNP seem less like a team and more like a collection of cricketers operating on their own accord. Looking at their levels of inconsistency, it is hard to look beyond Barbados for this game.

This brings us to the ultimate question of who will win the match today?

  1.   If Barbados bat first, expect them to score a 170+ score again, and expect STKNP to collapse in the chase
  2.   JP Duminy and Johnson Charles to be among the runs again for Barbados. For St. Kitts, it is hard to look beyond Hafeez and Laurie Evans for runs. Maybe 1 of the others will come good, and Devon Thomas will definitely not come good.
  3.   The Tridents are on the up, and the rise will continue with a win over St. Kitts. The latter are just not inspiring enough
  4.   Hayden Walsh, an unknown quantity will bring the x-factor, and take 2-3 wickets again. Hafeez will take wickets for St. Kitts
  5.   It is hard to make a case for St. Kitts in either the bowling or the batting departments (too many unknowns). But even if they bat first, Barbados will be confident of restricting them to 140-150 runs and then winnings the chase.

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