CPL 2019 Match Prediction: Barbados Tridents vs St Lucia zouks
September 30, 2019,
We try to analyse upcoming cricket matches with prediction tips related to batting, bowling, pitch, toss that will give our app users a better shot at predicting and winning.
Jason Holder (c), Alex Hales, Asif Ali, Wahab Riaz, Sandeep Lamichhane, Johnson Charles, Shai Hope, Ashley Nurse, Imad Wasim, Jonathan Carter, Chemar Holder, Leniko Boucher, Roshon Primus, Raymon Reifer, Justin Greaves, Joshua Bishop, Hayden Walsh Jr., Josh Lalor, JP Duminy, Dan Christian, Harry Gurney, Shakib Al Hasan
St. Lucia Zouks:
Darren Sammy (c), Lasith Malinga, Fawad Ahmed, Thisara Perera, Andre Fletcher, Kesrick Williams, John Campbell, Niroshan Dickwella, Obed McCoy, Rahkeem Cornwall, Roland Cato, Jeavor Royal, Andre McCarthy, Beuran Hendricks, Christopher Barnwell, Keddy Lesporis, Nitish Kumar, Krishmarh Santokie, Colin de Grandhomme, Najibullah Zadran, Cameron Delport, Hardus Viljoen, Kavem Hodge, Jahmar Hamilton, Colin Ingram
Pitch report for match prediction:
Bridgetown has hosted 4 games so far in CPL 2019. 3 games saw scores of less than 150 being posted in the 1st innings, with the notable exception of the Barbados vs TKR game, where the Tridents scored 192 on their way to a surprising victory. Trinbago fell for just 129. The 4 games saw 63 wickets being taken. The weather is expected to be slightly cloudy and quite windy, with a very slight chance of rain.
Today’s match toss prediction:
The Tridents are not good chasers.
After successfully restricting St. Kitts to 149, they made a hash of the chase – throwing away wickets, then reducing the asking rate to 5 off 5, and then 4 off 4, and then throwing away wickets again in the last over. Expect them to desperately want to bat first in the next, crucial game, to have a chance of making the playoffs.
Standing in their way are, who else, St. Lucia. They lost their game against Barbados, bundled out for 101 while chasing 173 runs at Gros Islet. Carlos Braithwite also chose to bat first in St. Kitts game against Barbados, and expect the toss winner to bat first on this pitch in this game.
Barbados Tridents’ performance during CPL 2019
In the game against St. Kitts, pretty much every batsman copped it. Charles, Hales and JP Duminy scored 13, 19 and 18. The middle-order, as usual, was non-existent. Only Shakib al Hassan and Raymon Reifer posted crucial scores – 38 and 34. Reifer’s 34 included a couple of well-taken sixes that brought the Tridents very close to victory.
Charles has 113 in his last 4 innings; Alex Hales’ middling form continues – 60 in his last 4. Shakib al Hassan replaced Justin Greaves at no. 3 and scored 38. JP Duminy’s awesome 65 off just 30 against TKR will be still fresh in memory. Raymon Reifer can definitely swing it with the bat, but the rest of the middle-order do not warrant any consideration in the batting stakes.
Hayden Walsh’s performance with the ball continues; he followed up his 5 wicket haul against TKR with 2 against St. Kitts. Shakib conceded just 14 runs and picked up a single wicket – that of the dangerous Carlos Braithwite. Jason Holder continues to take 1-2 wickets in every match while Harry Gurney and Raymon Reifer both have 4 wickets in his last 3 games as well.
Fantasy sports players will love to have Raymon Reifer on their team on this evidence, while Hayden Walsh will continue to provide value with multiple wickets.
St. Lucia Zouks’ performance during CPL 2019
The last game defined Rahkeem Cornwall and Darren Sammy as the starring cast and Hardus Viljoen provided the stable support. First, Cornwall bludgeoned 5 sixes on his way to 51 off 25, and then Sammy joined the party with a six that cleared the roof to seal the game at the death. On these 2, along with Colin de Grandhomme and Hardus Viljoen, rests the success of St. Lucia’s batting innings. It must be said, though, that Cornwall has been very inconsistent – 51, 6 and 13 in his last 3 innings.
Fletcher has 71 runs in his last 3 matches, while Ingram has 63 and de Grandhomme has 82, including a 65 in difficult conditions against Guyana.
Cornwall has now gone wicketless in his last 3 games and St. Lucia’s bowling revolves around the twin-threats of Kesrick Williams and Krishmarh Santokie, who conceded 55 in their 8 overs and pouched 5 wickets between them in the game against Tallawahs. Their ability in containing the death overs, they conceded just 22 in the last 3 overs, was crucial in limiting the Tallawahs to 169 in their innings in the last match, especially with removals of set batsmen Liton Das and Dwayne Smith with the score at around 140 after 16 overs.
Santokie took 2 wickets in his last game, while Williams has 6 in his last 3 games, and 12 scalps in the tournament so far. Hardus Viljoen has 4 wickets in his last 3 games, while Fawad Ahmed has 3. Any bowling threat will come from these 4 players and the others will snaffle the odd-wicket between them.
Dream Team: Andre Fletcher (wk), Johnson Charles (wk), Alex Hales, Darren Sammy, Colin Ingram, Colin de Grandhomme, Shakib al-Hassan (c), JP Duminy, Hardus Viljoen, Kesrick Williams, Hayden Walsh (vc)
This brings us to the ultimate question of who will win the match today? Prediction tips here are based on past performance of the teams
Today’s Cricket match prediction tips are based on the teams’ performances from all the matches of CPL 2019.
- Barbados have a bad habit of making a hash of chases and given that, both teams will try to bat first if they win the toss
- JP Duminy and Johnson Charles to be among the runs again for Barbados. For St. Lucia, Fletcher, Ingram and de Grandhomme are still the reliable choices while Cornwall will probably slump back to non-scoring form in this game.
- I guess it depends on who gets to bat first, but it’s now or never for the Tridents. In Barbados, under the lights, at home, if they don’t win this game, they definitely do not deserve to be in the playoffs
- Hayden Walsh will take wickets again. Kesrick Williams will take wickets again. Shakib al Hassan will take wickets again.
- It will be a close game again. If Duminy and Shakib come good with the bat, then you can expect Barbados to score 170+. For St. Lucia, the potential star with the bat is Cornwall, but Shakib is just the man to send him back with minimal runs. For me, Barbados have more reliable quality with the bat and that should help them win the game, but if they bat first. If they bat second, then who knows?