CPL 2019 Match Prediction: St. Lucia Zouks vs Barbados Tridents

CPL Match4: St. Lucia Zouks vs Barbados Tridents

September 21, 2019,

Gros Islet

We try to analyse upcoming cricket matches with prediction tips related to batting, bowling, pitch, toss that will give our app users a better shot at predicting and winning. 

squads:

St. Lucia Zouks:

Colin Ingram, Jahmar Hamilton, Kavem Hodge, Hardus Viljoen, Cameron Delport, Najibullah Zadran, Colin de Grandhomme, Krishmar Santokie, Nitish Kumar, Keddy Lesporis, Christopher Barnwell, Beuran Hendricks, Andre McCarthy, Jeavor Royal, Roland Cato, Rahkeem Cornwall, Obed McCoy, Niroshan Dickwella, John Campbell, Kesrick Williams, Andre Fletcher, Thisara Perera, Fawad Ahmed

Barbados Tridents:

Dan Christian, JP Duminy, Josh Lalor, Hayden Walsh Jr., Joshua Bishop, Justin Greaves, Raymon Reifer, Roshon Primus, Leniko Boucher, Chemar Holder, Jonathan Carter, Imad Wasim, Ashley Nurse, Shai Hope, Johnson Charles, Sandeep Lamichhane, Wahab Riaz, Asif Ali

Pitch report for match prediction:

The Darren Sammy stadium – one of the newest major grounds in West Indies. It’s the first time this ground is hosting a match in the CPL, but historically it has been a flat deck where runs usually flow. But that’s true on every deck in the West Indies, and one can expect to see scores of 150-170 from a decent team.

Today’s match toss prediction:

What is there to say? Every pitch in the West Indies favour the batsmen, and teams have been consistently choosing to field first. Same is true for the Zouks. In the matches where they have won the toss, twice they’ve opted to field first, and once, against Trinbago, they’ve batted first. They lost the game comfortably, so they will probably not repeat that. The Tridents won the toss once, and they chose to, you guessed it, bowl first as well. So, suffice to say that the team winning the toss will choose to bowl.

St. Lucia’s performance during CPL 2019

Batting

Such has been Rahkeem Cornwall’s form that it is difficult to look beyond him in the top order. With scores of 36, 33, 75 and 5, he is far and away the top scorer for the Zouks and is crucial to their batting performance. Andre Fletcher has had 2 decent innings with scores of 47* and 26. The other 2 have seen him dismissed for single digits.

The middle order has been inconsistent. That is their primary difficulty in batting terms. But if you had to choose a batsman to perform, it would have to be Colin de Grandhomme, who has scores of 25 and 30 in the 2 games he’s played. Hardus Viljoen has been useful with the bat, scoring 28 in their last match against the Patriots, but has so far failed to snag a single wicket in the tournament, despite having a career T20 bowling average of 24.

As a team, they have recorded scores of 138/9, 171/5, 167/5 and 142/9. The record yells “useful batsmen” rather than “batting kings”, and they will probably record a score between 150-175 in this match.

Bowling

In their 4 games, they have taken 21 wickets, but 9 of them came in 1 game against Guyana. Obed McCoy, the 22 year-old fast bowler, leads the bowling charts with 7 wickets so far. Thisara Perera has been drawing blanks, while aged Australian leg-spinner, Fawad Ahmed has been consistent – he’s the only St. Lucia bowler to take a wicket in each match. He’s second in the bowling charts with 6 so far. Among the others, West Indies paceman Kesrick Williams has 3 wickets in his 4 games.

Barbados Tridents’ performance during CPL 2019

Batting

Severe inconsistency has been Barbados’ problem in their 3 games. While they put up 186/2 to sweep home against St. Kitts, they followed it up with an abysmal 140/9 against fellow strugglers, Jamaica Tallawahs. But with the batting talent in the team, you feel that they will put up a big score against St. Lucia, who right now, seem unable to bat.

Johnson Charles at the top and Leniko Boucher at number 3 have been fairly consistent – both reached double-figures every game, and have a half-century each to their name. And then in comes JP Duminy with scores of 20, 43 and 31. His innings against Jamaica and Guyana were stable, but that 43 was a display of explosive batting; it came off just 18 balls. If that Duminy turns up, then Barbados will run away with the game.

The other batsmen have contributed nothing of note – barring West Indian Ashley Nurse, who can be relied upon to provide late fireworks. He has scored 40 (25) and 37 (18) in the 2 matches that he has come out to bat. Because of the paucity of firing batting options available to them, their best hope is that Duminy, Boucher, Charles and Nurse carry them to a 170-180 score.

Bowling

In Jason Holder, Sandeep Lamichhane, Hayden Walsh and Roshon Primus, they have a core that is reasonably strong, if not extraordinary. Holder leads the charts with 5 wickets, and not surprisingly, they have Lamichhane, Walsh and Primus all on 4 wickets. You can rely on any combination of them to take 4-5 wickets between them. Will they bowl out the opposition? Probably not.

This brings us to the ultimate question of who will win the match today? Today’s Cricket match prediction tips are based on the teams’ performances from all the matches of CPL 2019.

  1. It will not be a very high scoring match. Expect both teams to score 350-375 runs between them
  2. JP Duminy, Leniko Boucher and Johnson Charles (for the Tridents) and Rahkeem Cornwall, Andre Fletcher and Colin de Grandhomme (for the Zouks) to be among the runs
  3. The Tridents really deserve to be higher than where they are right now, and with a win here, they will expect to challenge for the playoff spot
  4. Fawad Ahmed, Jason Holder, Lamichhane, Walsh and Primus are my bowling picks for the match. They can be relied upon to take wickets.
  5. Duminy and Nurse should ensure that the Tridents will score more boundaries and sixes than the Zouks.

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