CPL 2019 Match Prediction: St. Lucia Zouks vs Guyana Amazon Warriors

CPL Match22: St. Lucia Zouks vs Guyana Amazon Warriors

September 26, 2019,

Gros Islet

We try to analyse upcoming cricket matches with prediction tips related to batting, bowling, pitch, toss that will give our app users a better shot at predicting and winning. 

squads:

St. Lucia Zouks:

Darren Sammy (c), Lasith Malinga, Fawad Ahmed, Thisara Perera, Andre Fletcher, Kesrick Williams, John Campbell, Niroshan Dickwella, Obed McCoy, Rahkeem Cornwall, Roland Cato, Jeavor Royal, Andre McCarthy, Beuran Hendricks, Christopher Barnwell, Keddy Lesporis, Nitish Kumar, Krishmar Santokie, Colin de Grandhomme, Najibullah Zadran, Cameron Delport, Hardus Viljoen, Kavem Hodge, Jahmar Hamilton, Colin Ingram

Guyana Amazon Warriors:

Shoaib Malik (c), Nicholas Pooran, Shadab Khan, Shimron Hetmyer, Ben Laughlin, Chris Green, Keemo Paul, Sherfane Rutherford, Brandon King, Romario Shepherd, Odean Smith, Keagan Simmons, Chandrapaul Hemraj, Veerasammy Permaul, Anthony Bramble, Clinton Pestano, Saurabh Netravalkar, Imran Tahir, Qais Ahmad

Pitch report for match prediction:

Gros Islet has so far seen 3 matches, 1 of which was rained out. The weather forecast shows high humidity, cloudy with a chance of rain, and winds of 19-20 kmph – the latter will help the seamers more than the spinners. In St. Lucia’s last game against St. Kitts’, 8 of the 15 wickets were taken by seamers. In their abandoned match against Trinbago, St. Lucia lost 3 of their 4 wickets to seamers. Expect seamers to be among the wickets again today

Today’s match toss prediction:

Gros Islet has seen the toss-winning team decide to bowl first, and Sammy has decided to bowl whenever he won the toss. Irrespective of who wins the toss today, the winning team will decide to bowl first, especially with the help on offer to the seamers.

St. Lucia’s performance during CPL 2019

Batting

The openers haven’t had the best few games off late. Rahkeem Cornwall has recorded scores of 5, 8, 8 and 13 in his last few games. Andre Fletcher 1, 14, 9 and 13 in his last 4. The Guyana bowling attack will be merciless, and I fully expect this trend to continue in the current match. The resistance, if any, will come from de Grandhomme, Sammy and Viljoen. De Grandhomme has been solid without being spectacular, but has at least reached double figures in his last 4 innings. Unbelievably, 52 of St. Lucia’s 99/4 against TKR in the abandoned match were scored by Colin Ingram. In these conditions, you can expect the experienced South African international to score useful runs again.

The team has scores of 165, 101 and 138/9 in their last 3 completed games. Guyana have not lost a single game in this tournament, and at least a part of the reason for that has been their dangerous bowling. Expect St. Lucia to post a score of 140-150 if they bat first. Lesser if they are trying to chase the game.

Bowling

You can back Kesrick Williams to take a few wickets today. He has scalped 7 in his last 4 games, and he didn’t even get to bowl in 1 of them. He has taken 3 wicket hauls in each of his last 2 games, and any bowling threat the Guyana face will come from him. Expect him to snaffle 1 or 2, at least.

Apart from him, Fawad Ahmed, Hardus Viljoen, Obed McCoy and Rahkeem Cornwall have all contributed with a wicket here and there. Fawad has been useful: he’s taken wickets in 5 of their 7 games so far, and 1 of those 7 was abandoned without the Zouks bowling. He’ll contribute today; he took 2 wickets in the return fixture for the Zouks.

Guyana Amazon Warriors’ performance during CPL 2019

Batting

The other part of Guyana’s dominance in the tournament has been their batting and part of the reason for their indomitable batting has been Brandon King. On a pitch that looked treacherous (the Tridents were bowled out for 138), King hit 51* off just 34 balls to take the game by DLS as Guyana recorded 81/2 in just 11 overs. He has scores of 51, 59 and 49 in his last 3 games, and he’s really grown into the tournament. He may not get a half-century today, but you can count on him to give Guyana a good start.

The rest of the line-up is always capable, and they have a settled line-up. At No. 2, Hemraj has struggled in the last few games, but Hetmyer and Shoaib Malik have provided the much-needed middle-order solidity and stability. Both have half-centuries in the caribbean premier league 2019, and both have scored 20+ runs in 3 and 4 games so far, respectively. If Guyana bowl first, it is quite probable that these batsmen will sort out the chase between themselves. And just in case they don’t, there is always Pooran and Keemo Paul to back-up the chase. 

If Guyana bat first, expect them to post a score of 180+.

Bowling

The last 3 games have been the Chris Green and Imran Tahir show. Chris Green has taken 7 wickets in them, and Tahir has 2 in each game like clockwork. Keemo Paul has 6 as well. The others can all be counted on to take 1-2 wickets in the game. Qais Ahmed has 5 in his last 2 as well. Wicket-taking ability is spread across the entire bowling attack, and you can expect St. Lucia to lose 7-8 wickets in the game.

This brings us to predicting who will win the match today?

  1. If Guyana bat first, it will be high-scoring, but one-sided. If St. Lucia bat first, it will be low scoring and one-sided
  2. Brandon King will be among the fireworks again. Expect Hetmyer or Shoaib to contribute double-figures again. If Hemraj finds his touch again, then expect Guyana to score 200+ in the game. St. Lucia’s bowling is okay, but not that strong, and not reliable
  3. Today is not the day Rahkeem Cornwall will come back to the fore. The batting has been miserable, and probably only de Grandhomme, Sammy and Viljoen reach double figures
  4. Fawad Ahmed and Hardus Viljoen will lead the wicket-takers for St. Lucia, but neither will take more than 3 wickets.
  5. If St. Lucia chase, expect them to get bowled out. Guyana will obviously win in a one-sided encounter.

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