Estonia vs Germany
October 14, 2019,
A. Le Coq Arena, Estonia
After surrendering a 2-goal lead against Argentina in their 2-2 friendly draw, Germany return to action in the Euro 2020 qualifiers against probably the weakest team in their Group C. They travel to Estonia with a view to break free of Northern Ireland, who have 12 points, just like Germany.
A win for Germany will take them 3 points clear of Northern Ireland with 2 games left in the campaign. Northern Ireland, who face Germany and Netherlands in their last 2 games, must be praying for Estonia to at least double their tally in the campaign- Estonia have just 1 point from their 6 games.
As for Estonia, it is simply a case of damage limitation as they look to end what has been a dismal campaign on some kind of a positive note.
Nevertheless, the 8-0 thrashing in the reverse fixture with Germany back in June is still fresh in their minds, and it will take a united effort to ensure that they are not thrashed again, this time in front of home crowd.
Karel Voolaid may potentially name the same XI from the stalemate with Belarus. Frank Liivak could replace Sergei Zenjov on the right flank if a change is made to the starting lineup.
They are expected to stick to 4-2-3-1 formation.
Estonia possible starting lineup this Euro Qualifiers 2019: Sergei Lepmets; Taijo Teniste, Nikita Baranov, Karol Mets, Ken Kallaste; Vladislav Kreida, Mattias Kait; Frank Liivak, Konstantin Vassiljev, Henrik Ojamaa; Erik Sorga
While Germany are still far from the finished article as they continue through their transitional period, Joachim Low will be relatively satisfied with the position that his side find themselves in.
Although the next couple of fixtures are opportunities to hand chances to the majority of his squad at a time when he will already be contemplating his 23-man group for Euro finals, Low will still have ambitions to top the group.
Serge Gnabry is in red-hot form and Low said after Argentina game that he didn’t let Gnabry play full 90 mins because he was playing with too much energy.
Gnabry will likely join Marco Reus and Timo Werner in the front 3. Manuel Neuer will return to goalkeeping duties with Marc-Andre ter Stegen making way.
Ilkay Gundogan will also hope to feature having played no part of the meeting with Argentina. The inclusion of Gundogan could lead to Emre Can dropping out of the team in a 3-4-3 formation.
Germany probable line-up this Euro Qualifiers 2019: Manuel Neuer; Niklas Stark, Niklas Süle, Robin Koch; Lukas Klostermann, Joshua Kimmich, Ilkay Gündogan, Marcel Halstenberg; Serge Gnabry, Marco Reus, Timo Werner.
With this, we move on to predicting which team will win today’s match?
Estonia have failed to score in 7 of their last 9 European Championship matches. They have scored just 2 goals in 6 games. Though this is a home game for them if Low fields his best XI, which he is likely to do, Germany might end up with a clean sheet.
Germany have scored at least 2 goals in their last 5 European Championship matches while Estonia have conceded 18 goals in last 6. Given the form of Gnabry and Reus and Werner’s talent, score the former champions to continue their scoring spree.
Estonia have failed to win their last 9 European Championship matches and Germany might prove to be too strong for them to end that streak.
Germany have won all four of their meetings with Estonia, scoring 19 goals and conceding just once. It might be a performance on a similar line.
Gnabry has netted 6 goals in 6 games for Germany in 2019, improving his international scoring record to a remarkable 10 goals in 11 appearances.
Löw’s men have won all three of their qualifiers away from home during the current campaign, and this is the easiest game compared to the games against the Netherlands, Belarus and Northern Ireland.